Overconfidence in judgment is commonly referred to as what?

The term that captures the phenomenon of overconfidence in judgment is often associated with biases in decision-making. Overconfidence is the tendency for individuals to have an unjustified belief in their ability to know outcomes, predict events, or understand situations more accurately than they actually do.

In this context, the phrase "overconfidence barrier" effectively refers to the psychological block that can prevent individuals from recognizing the limits of their knowledge or the probability of errors in their judgments. It highlights that people overestimate their own capabilities and the precision of their knowledge, leading to faulty decision-making processes.

This phenomenon can negatively affect critical thinking and lead to poor decisions in various fields, such as finance, health care, and everyday life. Recognizing this overconfidence and its implications can be crucial for better judgment and decision-making.